Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.413003 0.451731 0.493093 0.540658 0.593973 0.652034 0.720241
2026-02-08 0.350414 0.404663 0.466610 0.543029 0.635376 0.744137 0.883067
2026-02-15 0.310163 0.371310 0.444336 0.538859 0.659263 0.809266 1.013081
2026-02-22 0.283883 0.349716 0.431213 0.540914 0.686882 0.877560 1.150790
2026-03-01 0.259803 0.327610 0.414063 0.534289 0.700259 0.926050 1.264955
2026-03-08 0.239329 0.307883 0.397534 0.525796 0.708690 0.966692 1.370586
2026-03-15 0.219283 0.286884 0.377208 0.509602 0.703749 0.986437 1.445795
2026-03-22 0.210766 0.280672 0.376224 0.519950 0.737176 1.064585 1.619025
2026-03-29 0.202550 0.274124 0.374012 0.527896 0.767118 1.139633 1.795884
2026-04-05 0.193934 0.266313 0.369244 0.531312 0.789877 1.204926 1.963898
2026-04-12 0.185680 0.258416 0.363669 0.532791 0.809263 1.266014 2.131716
2026-04-19 0.178824 0.252092 0.359906 0.536586 0.832371 1.335118 2.322761
2026-04-26 0.168628 0.240322 0.347331 0.525672 0.830431 1.361407 2.437950
2026-05-03 0.162390 0.234215 0.343113 0.528023 0.851336 1.430558 2.647949
2026-05-10 0.155240 0.226272 0.335471 0.523995 0.860465 1.478638 2.821384
2026-05-17 0.149970 0.220948 0.331621 0.525980 0.880324 1.548698 3.051926
2026-05-24 0.143367 0.213156 0.323298 0.519579 0.884061 1.587503 3.218883
2026-05-31 0.136888 0.205240 0.314322 0.511370 0.883601 1.617642 3.370296
2026-06-07 0.129433 0.195400 0.301641 0.495718 0.867574 1.614161 3.441010
2026-06-14 0.127234 0.194046 0.303118 0.505721 0.902274 1.720384 3.798744
2026-06-21 0.124731 0.192049 0.303358 0.513401 0.932931 1.821311 4.161974
2026-06-28 0.121614 0.188868 0.301359 0.516701 0.954872 1.905347 4.496451
2026-07-05 0.118366 0.185309 0.298499 0.518131 0.972971 1.982603 4.827291